1. Dak Prescott, QB New England
Of course the loss last night to the Bills stung and hurt his chances but he was ahead in this race by a long ways and you can’t discount what he had done in his other sims. He wasn’t even bad last night, not turning it over and still putting up a couple hundred yards. He’s leading the NFL in passing yards at this point in the season, managing the games well and picking up some with his feet. Last night he wasn’t the reason the Patriots lost, they lost to the Bills because they couldn’t run the ball or stop the run. Prescott is still in the lead through 8 weeks, but his gap has shrunk to virtually zero.
2. Lamar Jackson, QB New York
Jackson is hurt not by how he played last night, which was pretty well in a loss, with 2 TD 0 picks and a couple fumbles. He had an explosive run and made some big plays in the pass game when he was out there. This issue was he wasn’t out there much because his defense absolutely could not stop the Bears. Jackson is hurt more by the fact he didn’t play in a week 2 win over the Dolphins. He’s the MVP in the Madden Award center, leads the NFL in QBR, has won 3 player of the week awards, and has now run for 550 yards with 18TD and only 4 INT. The loss hurts, like they all do but he played well and helped his chances.
3. Todd Gurley, RB Buffalo
Has anyone been better lately in the league than Gurley? The quick answer is no. He’s been dominating games on the ground for the Bills. They had to have a ground attack to help when Rodgers went down, which doesn’t look like it’s hurt the Bills at all to this point, by the way, and he’s stepped up. He leads the 3GML in rushing, has run with power and decisiveness, and has slowly and surely gotten better each week. Gurley is making the case for his second 3GML MVP award.
4. Shaq Thompson, LB/S/DE Miami
There hasn’t been a more important player to the Dolphins and their scrappy 6-2 start than Thompson. He’s been everywhere for them defensively and his playmaking ability has kept them in games that they’ve been tight in. He’s forced turnovers, created sacks, chased backs and covered in the slot. There aren’t many guys in the league who can do what Thompson’s done through half a season.
5. Marshon Lattimore, CB New England
He’s been spectacular this season for the Pats. Three interceptions including 2 in the Red Zone this week created an expected 6.77 points for the Patriots, according to football Outsiders. He’s a star on the outside and right now is the defensive player of the year in the league. He needed to help slow down Brandin Cooks and Cooks was quiet throughout the entire game for the Patriots.
6. Tyreek Hill, WR New York
Hill has been ridiculous and is on pace for a 2000 yard season. He had close to another 100 yard game against the Bears and made a huge catch to set up a scoring drive. While he hasn’t been asked to return punts yet, if he keeps up even close to his pace throughout the rest of the season, it could be a historic year for the Jets wideout, as he could set records in both TD’s and yards in a season.
7. Myles Garrett, DE Buffalo
Garrett’s impact is enormous for this team. He was quiet against the Patriots in the sim but it was the first game all year that Garrett didn’t dominate from the outset. He is so much better against the run than people give him credit for and he helped set the edge in holding the Patriots to -1 rushing yards in an entire game. He’s a huge part of the Bills success this year and he looks to be on the path to another stellar campaign.
To be honest there really aren’t any other players who are close to grabbing this award at this time. These are the 7 guys with the best shot to make it. At the Midway point the odds go like this. Per the MGM Grand Sports Book:
Prescott: 4:1
Jackson: 5:1
Gurley: 11:2
Thompson: 12:1
Lattimore: 12:1
Hill: 12:1
Garrett: 15:1