The updated 2019 3GML MVP odds is a column that will continue every week throughout the season. The odds got a major pre-season shakeup when the favorite to win the 2019 award, Andrew Luck, abruptly retired before the season began. That said, with the division more wide open now than it was just 72 hours ago, the MVP odds have gotten more wide open as well. Without further adieu the top MVP candidates for 2019.
1. Aaron Rodgers, QB Buffalo
Odds 7:1
With the best odds of any player with the now clear cut best team in the league, the quarterback for Buffalo carries a solid lead into week 1. Rodgers is trying to become the first player to win the MVP award as a quarterback this season. If Rodgers can play 14 or more games and play up the level he’s become expected of, throwing it to his plethora of offensive weapons, all he may have to do is distribute the ball to run away with the MVP award.
2. Julio Jones, WR New England
Odds 12:1
Jones is an absolute stud and arguably the best player in the 3GML Universe. He’s a monster and with the new system emphasizing superstar players, he could have an even bigger year. He’s forgotten about consistently throughout the real NFL season and the 3GML universe but if he can lead his team to the playoffs following Luck’s abrupt retirement he could end up being the league’s most important player.
3. Sam Darnold, QB New York
Odds 15:1
Darnold and 3 other players are tied at 15:1 but Darnold gets a slight lead because of the position he plays, and the fact that he doesn’t necessarily have the best weapons in the division. If he can continue to play like he did the last 4 games of last season when he led the NFL in QBR, he could make a huge jump. The Jets entire season rests on his ability to move the chains and limit mistakes, their defense is very good, so if he can play well, the Jets could move their timeline up in terms of competing a year early.
4. Todd Gurley, RB Buffalo
Odds 15:1
Gurley is the clear-cut number one option in Buffalo and if he’s healthy he’s a dynamic player in the passing and running game. As a 97 rated player on an extremely explosive offense, there’s a chance he can end up with 20 touchdowns. As with Gurley every season though he has to stay healthy, the Bills don’t have a great secondary option behind him, so Gurley figures to see 80% of the touches from the backfield this year. If Gurley can stay on the field enough to get 250 touches, he has a tremendous opportunity to win the MVP award. It’s just very tough to predict him staying out there as he’s struggled to do the throughout his 3GML tenure.
5. Jamal Adams, SS Miami
Odds 15:1
Strange that Vegas sees a secondary player as the top defensive player and someone who is tied for 3rd in MVP odds going into the season. He was electric as a 3GML rookie though and his abiltiy to create turnovers, hit the quarterback, cover, and play in the box is truly elite. The Dolphins utilize a running back by committee approach so there’s no one that stands out there, and Jacoby Brissett will be asked to manage the game so a dynamic defensive player has their best odds if they shock the world and make the playoffs. Adams is the team’s best player and if he progresses and makes that year two jump, the Fins could have an MVP candidate.
6. Alvin Kamara, RB New England
Odds 18:1
The only reason Kamara isn’t in that 15-1 odds of the other players is that typically he’s best utilized in a rotational role. He’s as explosive and elite as any player in the league but New England has always been great at maximizing a player’s touches, and the GM has been amazing at getting the most from his players as you can tell by last season’s Super Bowl title. If the team decides to ride the ultra versatile Kamara and give him 250 to 300 touches Vegas gives him 8:1 odds if he gets 250 touches, he’s that good.
7. Myles Garrett, DE Buffalo
Odds 18:1
Garrett is poised to be the second consecutive defensive end to win the MVP award. The crazy part is the odds for him to get 18 sacks are 50/50 this season and his odds to set the NFL sack record is 37% according to FPI. The Bills are now a higher favorite to win the title and if Garrett does get 18-20 sacks he has an incredible chance to win the MVP. He’s a difference maker and has the 6th best odds to win the trophy.
8. Jadeveon Clowney, DE New York
Odds 25:1
Clowney is a tremendous asset and the Jets top rated player on either side of the ball. He has looked downright unblock able in the preseason but the difference between him and Garrett is that Clowney isn’t as polished of a pass rusher and the Jets don’t have that good of odds to win the division. That said he has a chance to rack up a league leading number of TFL’s and the extra weapons on the defensive line means he’ll get a significant amount of one on ones. If the Jets can rise up and make the playoffs JD has a shot to win the award.
9. George Kittle, TE Miami
Odds 30:1
Kittle is an incredible player with tremendous upside in a ball control move the chains style offense. Kittle could end up leading the league in catches this season and with his run after the catch ability he could even lead the league in yardage. With the way that Miami has utilized tight ends in the past, if they use GK the same way with his speed and the playaction game of the Dolphins, Kittle could be a sneaky pick to win the award this upcoming year.
10. Teddy Bridgewater, QB New England & Jacoby Brissett, QB Miami
Odds 40:1
Both of these guys are now asked to be more game managers than anything this upcoming season but that doesn’t mean that neither could sneak into a 30 TD campaign. These guys are both accurate, mobile, and have good weapons around them to succeed. Neither team is going to make a playoff push without them and by nature of their positions they are leaders in the chance to become MVP’s. It wouldn’t shock if one of these guys ends up winning the award and getting the plaque.
